By Brookes S.D.
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Additional info for A Model for Communicating Sequential Processes [PhD Thesis]
This planning is a continuing process, within the utility or electricity generation authority, in which master studies are continually revised and updated. It is extensively discussed in the IAEA Guidebooks on "Introduction of Nuclear Power" and on "Expansion Planning for Electrical Generating Systems". The electric system expansion studies require good data on capital costs, which for fossil-fired and hydro plants should be available in a country from experience, recent bids and feasibility studies, but cannot easily be generalized from one country to another.
Uranium and fuel cycle front-end service prices should remain constant at least well into the 1990s. For nuclear plants the influence of changes in the fuel prices are also much smaller than for fossil-fired plants. There are, however, other factors which should be taken into account in the decision on the introduction of a new energy technology. They include: Preparing to meet the demands of a long-term (20-30 years) energy policy based on the future availability of diversified and economic energy resources; If nuclear power is indicated as needed by the country in the future, the possible advantages or disadvantages should be taken into account of an early introduction involving an SMPR rather than waiting until a larger unit can be introduced; The technology transfer requirements and the potential benefits of the introduction of a new technology.
It is, however, to be noted that the World Bank never has been asked to participate in the financing of a nuclear power plant in a developing country. The evaluation of a nuclear power plant project in a developing country will certainly include the project-specific considerations of economic viabiltiy, debt servicing capacity and project soundness, both the pre-operational and operational aspects, and will draw also on experience from other projects in the country. Still, according to the national export financing institutions, the creditworthiness of the country will be a primary consideration and involves such aspects as: - Future prospects of the country's economy; - - Vulnerability of the country in its dependence on energy imports and in its export of goods and services; The past financial performance of the country.